le pic du pétrole, la santé et la nourriture

Roni A Neff, PhD, ScM1, Cindy L Parker, MD2, Frederick L Kirschenmann, PhD3, Jennifer Tinch, MD, MPH4 and Robert S Lawrence, MD5

1 Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
2 Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
3 leopold1@iastate.edu
4 Cumberland Medical Center
5 Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

Correspondence: rneff@jhsph.edu


Peak oil is the phenomenon whereby global oil supplies will peak, then decline, with extraction growing increasingly costly. Today’s globalized industrial food system depends on oil for fueling farm machinery, producing pesticides, and transporting goods. Biofuels production links oil prices to food prices.

We examined food system vulnerability to rising oil prices and the public health consequences. In the short term, high food prices harm food security and equity. Over time, high prices will force the entire food system to adapt. Strong preparation and advance investment may mitigate the extent of dislocation and hunger.

Certain social and policy changes could smooth adaptation; public health has an essential role in promoting a proactive, smart, and equitable transition that increases resilience and enables adequate food for all. (Am J Public Health. Published online ahead of print July 21, 2011: e1-e11. doi:

10.2105/AJPH.2011.300123)